Here are articles from the latest issue of American Health & Drug Benefits. AHDB is a peer-reviewed journal for 30,000 decision makers in health plans, PBMs, Medicare, Medicaid, and the pharma and biotech industries:

Predictive and Prognostic Models: Implications for Healthcare Decision-Making in a Modern Recession:

F. Randy Vogenberg, RPh, PhD examines the role of predictive modeling in the healthcare decision-making process and its impact on clinical outcomes. Dr. Vogenberg discusses the difference in the value of modeling to patients, providers, employers, and health insurers. He describes how applying predictive modeling can enhance patients’ and providers’ ability to make the best clinical decisions. Dr. Vogenberg is principal, Institute for Integrated Healthcare, Sharon, MA; adjunct Instructor, University of Rhode Island College of Pharmacy; and senior fellow, Jefferson University School of Population Health, Philadelphia, PA.

Estimates of Commercial Population at High Risk for Cardiovascular Events: Impact of Aggressive Cholesterol Reduction:

Kathryn Fitch, RN, MEd; Sara W. Goldberg, FSA, MAAA; Kosuke Iwasaki, FIAJ, MAAA; Bruce S. Pyenson, FSA, MAAA; Andreas Kuznik, PhD; and Henry A. Solomon, FACP, FACC analyze the effects of statin therapies on working age people at high-risk for cardiovascular disease. Using a target population of between ages 35-69, the authors found that 4 percent of the target population generated 22 percent of the risk for coronary heart disease and stroke, and that aggressive cholesterol-lowering statins significantly reduced the potential for events and is cost-neutral for payers. Ms. Fitch is healthcare management consultant, Ms. Goldberg is consulting actuary, Mr. Iwaski is consulting actuary, and Mr. Pyenson is principal and consulting actuary, at Milliman. Dr. Kuznick is associate director of outcomes research and Dr. Solomon is medical director at Pfizer.

Impact of Prescription Benefit Coverage Limits on Sevelamer Hydrochloride Adherence for Patients with ESRD:

Bharati Bhardwaja, PharmD, BCPS; Nikki Carroll, MS; Eli Korner, PharmD; and Kavita V. Nair, PhD discuss a new study that assesses the effects of prescription benefit coverage on medication adherence among Medicare beneficiaries diagnosed with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) taking sevelamer hydrochloride. The authors draw on lessons learned from caps on total drug spending and its impact on medication adherence, and conclude that caps on adherence negatively impact adherence and healthcare costs. Dr. Bhardwaja is a nephrology clinical pharmacy specialist, Kaiser Permanente and clinical assistant professor, University of Denver School of Pharmacy. Ms. Carroll is biostatistician at Institute for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente. Dr. Korner was research investigator, Kaiser Permanente during this study and is currently medical liaison, virology and hepatology, Roche Laboratories. Dr. Nair is associate professor, School of Pharmacy, University of Colorado at Denver.

Private Health Plans Perspectives: Electronic Personal Health Records and Electronic Prescribing:

Nancy M. McGee, JD, MPH; Gene Reeder, RPh, PhD; Timothy S. Regan, BPharm, RPh, CPh; J.D. Kleinke; and Steve Arnold, MD, MS, MBA, CPE analyze the results of a survey of commercial payers representing 16 national plans and 80 million covered lives to better understand payer involvement in electronic personal health records (ePHR) and e-prescribing. While respondents were enthusiastic about ePHRs and have aggressively moved to implement them, there was also disappointment in members’ low utilization of these electronic systems. The authors suggest that Americans’ concern about their health data being used inappropriately may be at the root. Ms. McGee is senior vice president and chief operating officer, Lash Group, San Bruno, CA. Dr. Reeder is director of payer market research at Xcenda. Mr. Regan is executive director, customer insights, at Xcenda. Mr. Kleinke is chief executive officer, Mount Tabor Online Services, Portland, OR. Dr. Arnold is vice president and chief medical officer, Touchstone Health Plan, Lagangeville, NY.

Debate on the Elderly and End of Life Care Under Health Reform:

In The Politics of Epidemiology, by Robert E. Henry, and End-of-Life Choices Are Necessary in Any Healthcare Reform by Gary M. Owens, MD, the authors tackle the thorny issue of how to address the elderly and end-of-life, both in healthcare reform and as a society. Mr. Henry argues that it is not a part of America’s fundamental character to adopt policies that would determine what kind of care a person gets based on age and infirmity and that the government should avoid mandating processes that might ultimately encourage terminally ill patients to die quickly and efficiently. Dr. Owens argues that meaningful conversations between physician and family members and patients about their wishes at the end of their lives are important and should be encouraged to avoid potentially aggressive treatments that the patients themselves may not want. While he agrees that a health system should support the health of citizens, it should also respect the values of those facing end-of-life decisions. Mr. Henry is editor-in-chief of American Drug and Health Benefits. Dr. Owens is president, Gary Owens Associates, Philadelphia, PA.

Can Generics Help Heal Our Ailing Healthcare System:

Dalia Buffery, MA, ABD discusses the current struggle in Congress over the role and place of biosimilars. Recent legislative skirmishes in the House Energy and Commerce Committee defeated the 5-year exclusivity period for biosimilars proposed by Chairman Henry Waxman in favor of a 12-year exclusivity period. She asserts that while generic oral drugs have saved over $734 billion in the last decade, it will be important to craft a bill on biosimilars that both encourages and rewards innovation while also reducing costs to the system in the long run. Ms. Buffery is editorial director, American Health and Drug Benefits.

Learn More:

American Health & Drug Benefits is available in print and online at www.AHDBonline.com. To view the current or past issues or download in PDF format, click here.

Kip Piper is health policy editor of American Health & Drug Benefits